Showing posts with label softens. Show all posts
Showing posts with label softens. Show all posts

Wednesday, 30 October 2013

Asia markets take glancing hit from Fed, BOJ softens blow

By Wayne Cole

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Asian markets suffered a glancing blow on Thursday after the U.S. Federal Reserve's latest policy outlook was deemed less dovish than some had wagered on, lifting both bond yields and the dollar.

The damage was mostly superficial with MSCI's index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan off just 0.3 percent. Shares in Shanghai lost 0.7 percent while Japan's Nikkei eased 0.4 percent.

Helping sentiment was the Bank of Japan's decision to stick with its massive stimulus program that has shown tentative signs of breaking the grip of deflation.

Indeed, a survey of Japanese manufacturing out on Thursday showed activity accelerated to its fastest in more than three years in September.

There was also upbeat news from Australia where approvals to build new homes surged to their highest since early 2010, concrete evidence that record-low interest rates were working to support economic growth.

These factors helped lessen the drag from Wall Street, which had slipped after the U.S. central bank kept its $85 billion-a-month stimulus plan intact but did not sound quite as alarmed about the state of the economy as some had anticipated.

Given U.S. shares had reached record highs this week, the resulting profit-taking came as no surprise.

The Dow Jones industrial average fell 0.39 percent and the S&P 500 lost 0.49 percent. The MSCI world equity index showed even less damage, easing just 0.1 percent from a high not seen since January 2008.

Dealers said the market had talked itself into expecting the Fed would make dovish changes to the statement, so it was somehow considered "hawkish" when those did not materialise.

"We interpreted the statement as neutral and balanced and think the Fed is essentially in a holding pattern," said analysts at Australia and New Zealand Bank.

"If anything, the assessment section was a touch softer, suggesting the Fed are not trying to give the impression that it is setting up for a December move."

STILL EYEING MARCH

Much of the market is still not pricing in a start of tapering until March, when the Fed policy meeting will include new economic forecasts from officials and a news conference by Chairman Ben Bernanke.

It was notable that Fed funds futures barely budged on the statement, showing investors still did not expect any increase in official rates until well into 2015.

Likewise, short-dated Treasury yields stayed well anchored while the longer end moved up only modestly. Yields on the 10-year note were steady at 2.53 percent, and far below the 3 percent peak hit in early September.

Currency moves were also moderate, with the U.S. dollar edging further away from recent lows. The dollar index edged fractionally higher on the day to 79.814.

The euro dipped to $1.3713, losing gains made Wednesday after data showed a jump in euro zone sentiment in October. The dollar fared better against the yen to reach 98.44, a move that offered some support to Japanese stocks.

There was more action in the New Zealand dollar which bounced after the country's central bank said increases in interest rates were still likely to be needed next year, putting it well ahead of most other developed economies in tightening.

The currency rallied as much as half a U.S. cent in reaction, though the central bank also noted that a strong currency meant it might be able to wait longer before having to raise rates.

In commodities, spot gold faded after rising the most in a week at one stage on Wednesday. Gold fetched $1,338.73 an ounce, down from a high of $1,359.16.

Brent crude eased 25 cents to $109.61 a barrel but that followed gains on Wednesday as export disruptions in Libya continued to cut supplies to Europe and Asia.

The benchmark U.S. contract was off 22 cents at $96.55 a barrel after a bigger-than-expected increase in inventories in the United States.

(Editing by Eric Meijer)


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Sunday, 27 October 2013

Australian shares lead Asian rebound; yen softens

By Ian Chua

SYDNEY (Reuters) - Australian stocks scaled a five-year peak on Monday, leading a rebound in Asia after strong results from the likes of Microsoft pushed Wall Street to another record closing high, while investors gave the safe-haven yen a wide berth.

MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.7 percent, recovering a chunk of last week's 1.1 percent loss -- the biggest in two months -- that was driven by concerns that China may tighten policy to keep prices under control.

Australian shares put on 1.2 percent to reach their highest since June 2008, Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 0.4 percent, and South Korea's KOSPI rose 0.3 percent.

Japan's Nikkei climbed 1.0 percent, clawing back some of Friday's 2.7 percent drop.

"The market is getting bought back after excessive selling on Friday... but I don't think we will be testing new highs," said Kenichi Hirano, strategist at Tachibana Securities of the Nikkei.

Many traders suspect further gains in Asia may be limited as investors keep a wary eye what steps Chinese policymakers might take to cool property prices and inflation.

Several markets in Asia are closed for public holidays on Monday, including New Zealand and the Philippines.

RISK IN PLAY

With risk appetite on the mend, demand for the safe-haven yen waned. That saw the Australian dollar gain 0.5 percent to 93.68 yen, and both the euro and dollar edged up slightly to 134.74 and 97.52 respectively.

Against the dollar, the euro was a tad firmer at $1.3814 and within striking distance of Friday's two-year high of

$1.3833.

The dollar has been under broad pressure in the past few weeks on growing expectations the Federal Reserve will maintain its massive stimulus programme into next year.

The Fed's policy-setting arm meets on Oct 29-30 and is expected to hold off any move to scale down its $85 billion monthly bond-buying programme.

Analysts reckon policymakers want to see the impact of the U.S. budget battle that took the country to the brink of a debt default and caused a partial government shutdown.

"The FOMC should be a non-event... the Washington debates cloud the growth outlook, so forget about tapering," analysts at JPMorgan wrote in a client note, adding the April 2014 meeting looked like the soonest start for any tapering.

In contrast to equities, commodities got off to a sleepy start with copper a touch lower at $7,178.25 a tonne, while U.S. crude oil slipped 0.1 percent to $97.72 a barrel. Spot gold was steady $1,352.44 an ounce.

(Additional reporting by Tomo Uetake in Tokyo; Editing by John Mair)


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